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Will the next day’s CPI listing smash the stock market?

In our old update, we asked if NVIDIA Corporation’s (NVDA) earnings would smash the stock market, on this case, the NASDAQ100( NDX), and realized.  

“… NVDA’s earnings can swing the needle to decrease prices hasty, but contingent on the indexes holding above the September 6 lows, we must mild seek files from greater prices after that.

Certainly, NVDA’s earnings didn’t smash the stock market, because it by no manner closed beneath the outlined NAS18,650 stage. As a substitute, it broke above NDX21200 and would possibly maybe also, as a result of this truth, attain as high as NDX21626 on December 6, following the Ending Diagonal (ED) direction we outlined attend then:

The most glaring observation from the chart is that the rally since[[August]has not executed 5 increased (crimson) waves up, not to mention reached the 123.60% extension, which is a same old, minimal upside target for a 3rd wave (crimson W-iii) in an ED. Thus, we are in a position to permit but every other (grey) a-b-c pattern up from the October 31st low. This form the “Trump Swap” high used to be grey W-a, the most most modern low used to be grey W-b, and grey W-c; ideally, $21,500 is about to originate. A destroy above $21,200 will relieve confirm this thesis.

Resolve 1. NDX each day chart with detailed Elliott Wave depend and technical indicators

Thus, the utilize of the latest data, we ranking that the index has executed the minimal series of waves required to mediate about the crimson W-iii full. Pink W-iii subdivided into three inexperienced waves (abc), with the later W-c additional subdividing into three grey waves (abc). Moreover, the grey W-c subdivided into an additional (orange) W-a, b, and c pattern. Welcome to the unsuitable ED!

The supreme Fibonacci-primarily based target zones for every wave stage (crimson, inexperienced, grey, and orange) are proven on the chart, and we are in a position to glance that the index has reached all of them. To this level, so excellent. However, because the index increased, we raised our warning ranges accordingly to keep our top payment members on the apt facet of the commerce for as prolonged as that you just would possibly maybe be ready to mediate, and it has but to destroy beneath the first (blue) warning stage to give us a first indication that the crimson W-iii has topped. Thus, if the index can keep above it, with a 2nd extra serious warning beneath the (grey) NDX21200 stage, we are in a position to mild permit it to realize the crimson 138.20% extension at $21868.

The base line is that the index has progressed to the minimal upside target for the third wave extension inside an ending diagonal pattern. Then again, while the downside threat is thus currently increasing and acceptable actions wants to be taken, e.g., elevate stops and rob partial earnings, till we glance at the least a destroy beneath NDX21200, we are in a position to mild permit for greater prices. A destroy beneath that stage, namely the (orange) third warning stage at NDX20600, will uncover us that the crimson W-iv to ideally NDX20000-20300 is underway. From there, the crimson W-v can then target, ideally, $22460-22825. In the prolonged dawdle, we’re mild lacking a extra significant 4th and 5th wave (crimson W-iv and -v) from the unsuitable August low, and thus, the next day’s CPI listing just will not be going to smash the markets. At simplest, it’ll launch up a tight correction.

The prognosis is derived from data believed to be apt, but such accuracy or completeness can’t be assured. It will mild not be assumed that such prognosis, past or future, will be successful, equal past efficiency, or guarantee future efficiency or traits. All trading and investment choices are the sole duty of the reader. The inclusion of files about positions and completely different data just will not be intended to be any compose of recommendation or solicitation.

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